The Rakwana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rakwana has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Rakwana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 5.96% SLPP 0.92% 2015 UPFA UPFA 3.57% NDF 4.58% 2010 UPFA UPFA 3.59% UPFA 2.17% 2005 UNP UPFA 4.57% UPFA 1.82% 1999 PA PA 4.48% PA 3.75% 1994 PA PA 6.41% PA 10.56% 1988 UNP UNP 5.54% UNP 5.82% 1982 UNP UNP 4.34% UNP 2.14% Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 4.81% 8/8 3.97%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 48,867 53.86% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 38,008 41.89% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99% Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,120 2.34% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61% NMPP 1,743 1.92% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16% Valid Votes 90,738 99.17% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 757 0.83% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 91,495 86.30% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 106,025 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 42,940 51.99% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 38,366 46.45% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,283 1.55% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 82,589 98.78% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 1,023 1.22% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 83,612 81.48% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 102,618 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 43,368 59.95% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 27,302 37.74% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,674 2.31% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 72,344 99.23% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 562 0.77% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 72,906 78.49% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 92,891 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 34,413 50.16% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43% UPFA 33,169 48.35% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,023 1.49% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 68,605 98.84% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 805 1.16% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 69,410 82.05% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 84,595 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 28,305 47.81% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 28,059 47.39% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 1,552 2.62% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,293 2.18% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 59,209 98.25% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 1,055 1.75% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 60,264 79.89% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 75,436 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 27,997 51.48% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 25,338 46.59% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,049 1.93% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 54,384 98.09% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 1,057 1.91% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 55,441 79.54% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 69,702 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 26,643 57.93% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 18,744 40.75% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 608 1.32% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 45,995 98.84% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 538 1.16% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 46,533 79.46% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 58,565 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 24,986 55.93% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 17,936 40.15% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 1,339 3.00% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 410 0.92% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 44,671 99.36% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 289 0.64% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 44,960 87.50% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 51,385 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Rakwana has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Rakwana is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UNP UPFA 5.25% UNP 4.11% 2010 UPFA UPFA 1.71% UPFA 4.67% 2004 UPFA UPFA 4.53% UPFA 5.46% 2001 UNP UNP 3.64% UNP 4.22% 2000 PA PA 3.19% PA 4.36% 1994 UNP PA 6.45% PA 6.92% 1989 UNP UNP 5.99% UNP 7.89% Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 4.40% 7/7 5.38%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 39,172 50.95% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77% UPFA 35,587 46.29% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48% JVP 1,838 2.39% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 279 0.36% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75% Valid Votes 76,876 95.83% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 3,323 4.14% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 80,219 78.17% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 102,618 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 35,835 67.30% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 16,179 30.39% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 1,037 1.95% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 194 0.36% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44% Valid Votes 53,245 91.35% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 5,031 8.63% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 58,284 62.74% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 92,891 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 29,509 49.21% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 28,453 47.44% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 1,644 2.74% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 365 0.61% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63% Valid Votes 59,971 94.62% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 3,408 5.38% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 63,379 77.87% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 81,393 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 30,637 51.37% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 24,316 40.77% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 3,693 6.19% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.67% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47% Valid Votes 59,643 92.86% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 4,589 7.14% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 64,232 81.74% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 78,583 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 28,497 48.42% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 27,685 47.04% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 1,937 3.29% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 735 1.25% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78% Valid Votes 58,854 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 31,183 54.66% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04% PA 25,324 44.39% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94% Other Parties (with < 1%) 541 0.95% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82% Valid Votes 57,048 94.99% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 3,009 5.01% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 60,057 86.16% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 69,702 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 29,204 65.65% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 14,610 32.84% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90% Other Parties (with < 1%) 670 1.51% 19,439 5.73% 85,932 1.54% Valid Votes 44,484 93.98% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 2,849 6.02% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 47,333 81.83% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 57,842 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Rakwana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (85.2%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Rakwana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%)

Religion

The Rakwana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (85.0%) and a significant Hindu population (10.7%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Rakwana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%)

References