Opinion polling for the 2027 Finnish parliamentary election

In the run-up to the 2027 Finnish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election, held on 2 April, to the present day.

Political polling in Finland

The political polling industry in Finland can be generally considered reliable. The absolute total raw error in the 2021 election ranged between 6.7 and 8.5 points, representing a relatively low error rate compared to the European average of 13.0. Pollster watchdog Europe Elects reviewed reports about Tietoykkönen, Åbo Akademi, Taloustutkimus, and Verian and found no documented conflict of interest.

National opinion polls Graphical summary

Vote share

2026 Dates conducted Polling firm SamplesizeKOKPSSDPKESKVASVIHRSFPKDLIIK Others Lead 18 Aug–14 Sep 2026 Verian 3,078 16.5 15.023.4 13.6 11.6 8.6 4.1 3.0 2.2 2.0 6.9 10 Aug–1 Sep 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,502 17.0 16.322.6 13.5 11.7 8.2 3.6 3.4 1.9 1.8 5.6 14 Jul–17 Aug 2026 Verian 2,946 16.5 14.623.8 13.7 11.3 8.8 4.0 3.0 2.3 2.0 7.3 6 Jul–3 Aug 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,125 17.0 15.623.8 12.7 10.3 9.0 3.7 3.5 2.2 2.2 6.8 15 Jun–13 Jul 2026 Verian 3,512 16.7 14.223.8 13.7 11.5 8.8 4.0 3.1 2.1 2.1 7.1 4–30 Jun 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,433 17.4 14.523.2 13.6 11.4 8.6 3.8 3.4 1.3 2.8 5.8 18 May–15 Jun 2026 Verian 4,080 17.4 13.624.1 13.6 11.2 9.0 3.9 3.1 2.1 2.0 6.7 11 May–1 Jun 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,224 18.3 13.823.0 14.1 11.2 8.3 3.9 3.4 1.7 2.3 4.7 21 Apr–18 May 2026 Verian 4,120 17.3 13.424.3 13.6 11.0 9.1 3.8 3.3 2.0 2.2 7.0 13 Apr–5 May 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,378 17.6 13.923.7 14.2 10.9 9.1 3.2 4.0 1.7 1.7 6.1 18 Mar–20 Apr 2026 Verian 4,340 17.6 13.324.6 13.7 10.6 9.2 4.0 3.1 1.9 2.0 7.0 4 Mar–7 Apr 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,543 17.4 13.524.1 14.5 11.3 8.7 3.8 3.2 1.0 2.5 6.7 17 Feb–16 Mar 2026 Verian 4,048 17.8 13.424.8 13.7 10.4 8.9 4.0 3.2 1.8 2.0 7.0 9 Feb–3 Mar 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,402 17.9 14.925.0 13.2 11.0 8.2 3.4 3.3 1.0 2.1 7.1 20 Jan–16 Feb 2026 Verian 4,072 17.9 13.025.1 14.1 10.4 8.5 4.0 3.3 1.7 2.0 7.2 12 Jan–3 Feb 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,402 18.8 13.325.0 14.3 11.1 7.9 3.8 3.4 1.0 1.4 6.2 5 Dec 2025–19 Jan 2026 Verian 4,050 18.4 13.425.0 14.3 10.0 8.3 4.0 3.0 1.5 2.1 6.6 2 Apr 2023 2023 election – 20.82 20.06 19.95 11.29 7.06 7.04 4.31 4.22 2.44 2.81 0.76 49.41 47.78

2025 Dates conducted Polling firm SamplesizeKOK PS SDPKESKVASVIHRSFPKDLIIK Others Lead 8 Dec 2025–2 Jan 2026 Taloustutkimus 2,024 19.6 15.123.9 13.5 10.7 8.4 3.2 3.1 0.7 1.8 4.3 17 Nov–14 Dec 2025 Verian 4,075 18.0 13.125.3 14.8 9.5 8.6 4.0 3.0 1.7 2.0 7.3 10 Nov–2 Dec 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,407 18.7 14.224.7 13.9 10.2 7.6 3.8 3.4 1.5 2.0 6.0 13 Oct–16 Nov 2025 Verian 3,971 18.3 13.424.7 15.3 9.1 8.5 4.0 3.1 1.6 2.0 6.4 6 Oct–4 Nov 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,520 19.0 14.625.4 13.8 9.5 7.3 3.9 3.5 1.3 1.7 6.4 15 Sep–12 Oct 2025 Verian 3,598 18.2 12.824.8 15.7 9.4 8.8 3.8 3.0 1.5 2.0 6.6 3–30 Sep 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,383 18.6 14.924.9 14.3 9.6 7.5 4.1 3.5 1.2 1.4 6.3 18 Aug–14 Sep 2025 Verian 3,793 18.4 11.425.3 16.1 9.7 8.6 4.0 3.1 1.3 2.1 6.9 11 Aug–2 Sep 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,266 19.2 12.825.8 14.7 9.5 7.7 3.5 3.9 0.8 2.1 6.6 15 Jul–17 Aug 2025 Verian 3,012 18.8 11.025.2 16.3 10.0 8.3 4.0 3.2 1.2 2.0 6.4 7 Jul–5 Aug 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,844 19.1 12.324.7 15.1 10.1 8.6 3.9 3.5 0.9 1.8 5.6 16 Jun–14 Jul 2025 Verian 3,016 19.8 10.625.4 15.7 9.8 8.0 4.1 3.3 1.2 2.1 5.6 9–30 Jun 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,421 20.8 11.825.1 13.9 9.8 7.6 4.0 4.0 1.2 1.8 4.3 19 May–16 Jun 2025 Verian 4,083 19.8 10.025.2 15.7 10.0 8.2 4.4 3.1 1.3 2.3 5.4 12 May–2 Jun 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,401 21.5 10.825.1 14.1 9.5 8.7 3.7 3.7 0.9 2.0 3.6 16 Apr–18 May 2025 Verian 3,770 19.9 10.525.3 15.3 10.1 7.9 4.1 3.3 1.2 2.4 5.4 14 Apr–6 May 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,422 20.2 11.425.3 15.6 9.4 7.9 3.9 3.5 0.9 1.9 5.1 13 April 20252025 county elections and municipal elections are held.10 Mar–7 Apr 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,478 19.6 15.423.4 14.2 9.0 8.8 3.8 3.8 0.8 1.2 3.8 18 Feb–16 Mar 2025 Verian 3,224 19.3 14.224.2 13.2 9.4 7.8 4.1 3.4 2.0 2.4 4.9 10 Feb–4 Mar 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,519 20.0 15.422.8 13.7 8.5 7.8 3.9 4.7 1.0 2.2 2.8 21 Jan–16 Feb 2025 Verian 3,849 19.1 14.324.5 13.2 9.1 8.1 3.7 3.6 1.9 2.5 5.4 13 Jan–3 Feb 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,604 19.9 15.024.4 13.4 9.2 8.5 3.6 3.0 1.1 1.9 4.5 2 Apr 2023 2023 election – 20.82 20.06 19.95 11.29 7.06 7.04 4.31 4.22 2.44 2.81 0.76 49.41 47.78 2024 Dates conductedPolling firmSamplesizeKOKPSSDPKESKVASVIHRSFPKDLIIKOthersLead 9 Dec 2024–7 Jan 2025 Taloustutkimus 2,533 20.0 14.923.2 13.1 8.9 8.3 3.9 3.9 1.5 2.3 3.2 18 Nov–13 Dec 2024 Verian 2,418 19.5 15.724.0 12.1 8.5 7.8 3.8 3.9 2.5 2.2 4.5 6 Nov–3 Dec 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,572 18.8 15.124.0 13.1 8.8 8.2 3.3 4.0 2.3 2.4 5.2 14 Oct–15 Nov 2024 Verian 2,622 19.8 16.322.5 12.2 9.1 7.8 3.9 3.9 2.4 2.1 2.7 7 Oct–5 Nov 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,383 18.8 15.724.3 13.1 9.3 8.0 4.0 3.5 1.1 2.2 5.5 19 Oct 2024Minja Koskela is elected leader of the Left Alliance16 Sep–11 Oct 2024 Verian 2,432 19.4 16.122.8 12.5 8.6 8.0 4.2 4.0 2.2 2.2 3.4 4 Sep–1 Oct 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,600 20.0 16.722.6 13.2 9.3 7.6 3.9 3.4 1.4 1.9 2.6 19 Aug–13 Sep 2024 Verian 2,416 20.6 15.622.0 12.0 8.9 8.3 4.2 4.1 1.8 2.5 1.4 12 Aug–3 Sep 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,308 21.9 16.722.3 10.8 9.3 8.2 3.6 4.1 1.6 1.5 0.4 15 Jul–16 Aug 2024 Verian 2,542 20.2 15.020.9 12.9 10.1 8.0 4.3 4.2 2.2 2.2 0.7 8 Jul–6 Aug 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,49721.6 15.9 20.4 11.9 10.9 8.9 3.6 3.7 1.0 2.1 1.2 17 Jun–12 Jul 2024 Verian 2,38820.8 15.620.8 11.8 10.0 8.2 4.6 3.8 2.2 2.2 0.0 7 Jun–2 Jul 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,48121.2 15.3 20.1 12.2 11.6 8.3 3.9 3.7 1.9 1.8 1.1 16 Jun 2024Anders Adlercreutz is elected leader of the Swedish People's Party 15 Jun 2024Antti Kaikkonen is elected leader of the Centre Party20 May–14 Jun 2024 Verian 2,412 20.0 14.921.2 12.2 9.9 8.4 4.5 4.3 2.3 2.3 1.2 8 May–4 Jun 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,452 22.3 14.823.0 11.5 9.5 8.0 3.7 3.7 0.8 2.7 0.7 15 Apr–17 May 2024 Verian 2,484 19.9 16.222.7 12.1 9.0 7.8 3.4 4.2 2.2 2.5 2.8 3 Apr–7 May 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,490 21.3 15.624.4 11.5 8.8 7.7 3.4 4.0 1.8 1.5 3.1 18 Mar–12 Apr 2024 Verian 2,226 19.9 17.821.6 11.3 9.3 8.1 3.8 4.1 2.0 2.1 1.7 11 Mar–2 Apr 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,613 20.6 17.421.7 12.0 9.5 8.3 3.4 3.6 1.7 1.8 1.1 19 Feb–15 Mar 2024 Verian 2,426 20.7 18.9 19.6 11.7 9.0 8.1 3.8 3.9 2.3 2.0 1.1 12 Feb–5 Mar 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,428 21.6 18.0 19.8 12.2 9.0 8.9 3.7 3.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 15 Jan–16 Feb 2024 Verian 2,740 21.3 19.6 19.6 11.1 8.9 8.1 3.6 4.1 1.7 2.0 1.7 3 Jan–6 Feb 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,662 22.4 20.0 20.4 10.8 8.5 8.2 3.4 3.6 1.4 1.3 2.0 2 Apr 2023 2023 election – 20.82 20.06 19.95 11.29 7.06 7.04 4.31 4.22 2.44 2.81 0.76 49.41 47.78 2023 Dates conductedPolling firmSamplesizeKOKPSSDPKESKVASVIHRSFPKDLIIKOthersLead 29 Nov 2023–2 Jan 2024 Taloustutkimus 2,581 22.9 17.6 21.0 10.1 8.6 7.7 3.9 4.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 6 Nov–10 Dec 2023Kantar Public2,622 21.4 17.9 20.8 9.9 9.1 8.5 4.1 4.0 2.2 2.1 0.6 1 Nov–28 Nov 2023Taloustutkimus2,535 22.6 17.0 22.3 10.5 8.6 8.4 3.5 3.6 1.9 1.6 0.3 9 Oct–3 Nov 2023Kantar Public2,388 20.6 17.221.5 10.2 9.1 8.8 4.1 3.9 2.1 2.5 0.9 4–31 Oct 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,395 20.2 17.323.5 10.4 8.5 8.7 4.2 3.4 2.2 1.6 3.3 11 Sep–6 Oct 2023Kantar Public2,428 21.0 18.0 20.7 10.1 9.1 8.4 4.2 4.0 1.8 2.7 0.3 6 Sep–3 Oct 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,490 21.5 17.5 20.8 10.7 9.8 9.1 4.0 3.7 1.2 1.7 0.7 14 Aug–8 Sep 2023Kantar Public2,456 21.0 18.421.6 9.8 8.3 8.6 4.2 4.1 1.8 2.2 0.6 2 Aug–5 Sep 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,459 21.2 18.521.4 11.5 8.0 7.7 4.4 4.0 1.3 2.0 0.2 1 Sep 2023Antti Lindtman is elected leader of the Social Democratic Party17 Jul–11 Aug 2023Kantar Public2,460 21.4 19.021.5 9.5 8.0 8.1 4.4 3.7 2.0 2.4 0.1 5 Jul–1 Aug 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,509 19.8 19.222.8 10.7 8.5 8.0 3.9 4.0 1.4 1.7 3.0 19 Jun–15 Jul 2023Kantar Public2,486 22.0 19.8 19.4 9.8 8.1 8.0 4.5 3.9 2.1 2.4 2.2 12 Jun–4 Jul 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,468 22.1 20.2 20.6 10.0 7.8 8.6 4.1 3.8 1.2 1.6 1.5 20 Jun 2023Jussi Halla-aho is elected Speaker of the Parliament of Finland20 Jun 2023 The Orpo Cabinet (composed of KOK, PS, SFP and KD) is sworn in and Petteri Orpo becomes the 47th Prime Minister of Finland15 May–15 June 2023 Kantar Public 2,754 21.3 20.9 19.2 10.2 8.0 7.7 4.4 4.0 2.0 2.3 0.4 10 Jun 2023Sofia Virta becomes the new leader of the Green League3 May–6 Jun 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,533 22.5 21.0 19.6 9.7 7.5 7.3 4.5 4.0 1.7 2.2 1.5 3 Apr–12 May 2023 Kantar Public 2,860 21.4 21.0 19.0 10.1 7.8 7.7 4.5 4.1 1.9 2.5 0.4 3 Apr–2 May 2023 Taloustutkimus 2,594 21.6 20.6 19.9 10.2 7.5 7.5 4.3 4.1 2.0 2.3 1.0 12 Apr 2023Petteri Orpo becomes Speaker of the Parliament of Finland 2 Apr 2023 2023 election – 20.82 20.06 19.95 11.29 7.06 7.04 4.31 4.22 2.44 2.81 0.76 49.41 47.78

Sub-national opinion polls

By electoral district

Varsinais-Suomi

Dates conducted Polling firm SamplesizeKOKPSSDPKESKVASVIHRSFPKDLIIK Others Lead April 2026 Iro Research TBA 19.3 15.921.7 10.8 12.8 7.6 4.3 3.1 2.7 1.8 2.4 2 Apr 2023 2023 election – 23.0 20.0 18.1 8.4 11.6 7.0 4.9 2.8 2.3 1.8 3.0

See also Opinion polling for the 2019 Finnish parliamentary election Opinion polling for the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election

References