This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. Rating figures are in percentages.
Graphical summary
Opinion poll data After candidate registrations PollsterFieldwork dateSample size Lai-Hsiao Hou-Jaw Ko-Wu OthersUndecided Lead3 January 2024Publication of election polls prohibited until after the election. ETtoday 31 December 2023–1 January 2024 1,557 38.9% 35.8% 22.4% 2.8% 3.1% Mirror Media 30–31 December 2023 1,099 35.6% 24.1% 24.2% 16.2% 11.4% ETtoday 1,295 35.4% 33.4% 22.1% 3.1% 2% TVBS 30 December 2023 1,407 33% 30% 24% 13% 3% udn 26–30 December 2023 1,215 32% 27% 21% 20% 5% FTNN 26–29 December 2023 1,200 35.8% 27.3% 22.1% 14.8% 8.5% QuickseeK 1,285 33.7% 23.7% 27.7% 14.8% 10% RW News 25–29 December 2023 12,409 36.89% 32.83% 28.64% 1.63% 4.06% ETtoday 27–28 December 2023 1,740 36.6% 33.8% 22.2% 7.4% 2.8% TVBS 22–28 December 2023 1,074 37% 33% 22% 9% 4% SETN 26–27 December 2023 1,095 30.9% 27.9% 23.8% 17.5% 3% ETtoday 25–26 December 2023 1,618 38.1% 34.8% 19.2% 7.8% 3.3% Mirror Media 24–25 December 2023 1,081 33.3% 26.5% 23.2% 17.0% 6.8% CMMedia 23–25 December 2023 1,066 29.5% 22.7% 27.8% 20.1% 1.7% TPOF 22–24 December 2023 1,076 32.4% 28.2% 24.6% 14.8% 4.2% 20–21 December 2023 1,070 38.2% 33.9% 16.1% 11.7% 4.3% ETtoday 1,217 36.2% 34.8% 20.7% 8.2% 1.4% TVBS 15–21 December 2023 1,840 33% 32% 24% 11% 1% QuickseeK 17–20 December 2023 1,288 32.5% 27.2% 26.7% 13.6% 5.3% udn 13–17 December 2023 1,250 31%31% 21% 17% Tie Z.Media 15–16 December 2023 1,213 31.4% 29.6% 20.5% 18.5% 1.8% ETtoday 14–15 December 2023 1,300 38.5% 35.1% 19.6% 6.8% 3.4% SETN 11–12 December 2023 1,000 34.7% 28.8% 21.2% 15.3% 5.9% TVBS 5–12 December 2023 1,632 36% 32% 22% 9% 4% Mirror Media 10–11 December 2023 1,075 33.5% 25.2% 23.7% 17.5% 8.3% 27–28 November 2023 1,076 36.6% 30.5% 17.7% 15.3% 6.1% RW News 24–28 November 2023 12,041 41.12% 31.05% 25.31% 2.52% 10.07% TVBS 24–26 November 2023 1,744 34% 31% 23% 12% 3% udn 1,238 31% 29% 21% 20% 2% ETtoday 24 November 2023 1,348 34.8% 32.5% 21.2% 11.6% 2.3%
Before candidate registrations Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Lai Hou Ko Gou OthersUndecided Lead24 November 2023Terry Gou withdraws his candidacy. 24–25 October 2023 1,07032.5% 21.9% 20.4% 5.3% 19.9% 10.6% 1,07033.7% 24.6% 23.9% 17.8% 9.1% TVBS 18–24 October 2023 1,44733% 22% 24% 8% 14% 11%34%26%29% 10% 5% TPOF 15–17 October 2023 1,08026.5% 20.2% 21.7% 12.4% 19.1% 6.3% 1,08029.7% 21.1% 25.6% 23.6% 4.1% Mirror Media 14–16 October 2023 1,07232.3% 17.8% 23.2% 9.2% 17.4% 9.1% 1,07232.1% 18.7% 24.8% 24.4% 7.3% SETN 1–3 October 2023 1,00030.9% 17.8% 24.2% 11.6% 15.5% 6.7% 1,00032.2% 20.0% 26.8% 21.1% 5.4% TVBS 22–26 September 2023 1,12734% 21% 22% 9% 14% 12%36% 26% 28% 11% 9% Mirror Media 23–24 September 2023 1,09634.5% 16.5% 24.1% 8.5% 16.3% 10.4% 1,09633.3% 16.4% 28.0% 22.3% 5.3% FTNN 19–24 September 2023 2,40234.3% 16.3% 18.6% 9.1% 21.7% 12.6% FTNN 2,40234.9% 16.8% 20.8% 27.5% 7.4% CMMedia 18–22 September 2023 1,21327.9% 12.6% 22.4% 12.5% 24.6% 3.3% 20–21 September 2023 1,07237.3% 19.7% 16.9% 7.4% 18.7% 17.6% 1,07240.0% 22.4% 21.6% 15.9% 17.6% TPOF 18–20 September 2023 1,07731.4% 15.7% 23.1% 10.5% 19.4% 8.3% 1,07733.4% 17.2% 27.4% 22.1% 6% TVBS 28 August – 1 September 2023 1,27330% 19% 23% 14% 13% 7%28 August 2023Terry Gou declares his candidacy. Mirror Media 27–28 August 2023 1,08333.4% 15.3% 22.7% 12.9% 15.7% 10.7% 1,08334.3% 16.2% 27.1% 22.4% 7.2% 23–24 August 2023 1,07040.1% 15.6% 16.6% 12.0% 15.8% 23.5% 1,07042.5% 17.0% 21.1% 19.3% 21.4% TVBS 21–24 August 2023 1,17137% 22% 28% 13% 9% QuickseeK 17–21 August 20231,22235.6% 16.2% 24.4% 12.4% 11.4% 11.2% 1,22235.8% 17.9% 29.6% 16.6% 6.2% TPOF 14–15 August 2023 1,08143.4% 13.6% 26.6% 16.3% 16.8% FTNN 9–13 August 2023 2,40231.2% 14.8% 19.5% 11.8% 22.7% 8.5% 2,40233.4% 15.9% 23.2% 27.4% 6% TVBS 24–26 July 2023 1,61833% 25% 32% 10% 1% 24–25 July 2023 1,07133.1% 17.3% 20.7% 12.8% 16.1% 12.4% 1,07135.1% 19.9% 24.0% 20.4% 11.1% 1,07133.8% 17.4% 30.7% 18.1% 3.1% TPOF 17–18 July 2023 1,08836.4% 20.2% 27.8% 15.7% 8.6% TPOF 1,08833.9% 18.0% 20.5% 15.2% 12.4% 13.4% FTNN 11–16 July 2023 2,40928.0% 12.4% 20.4% 14.4% 24.8% 3.2% FTNN 2,40930.2% 15.3% 25.4% 29.1% 1.1% QuickseeK 7–10 July 2023 1,17834.8% 19.3% 30.8% 15.0% 4%1,17832.8% 27.7% 24.5% 15.0% 5.1% 1,178 33.8% 17.0% 35.6%Ko as VP. 13.6% 1.8% Z.Media 1–2 July 2023 1,07929.8% 15.2% 24.4% 14.0% 16.2% 5.4% 1,079 32.0% 16.3% 35.8% 15.5% 3.8% 1,07929.9% 16.0% 29.8% 23.8% 0.1% NCPF 30 June – 2 July 2023 1,07531% 15% 19% 15% 20% 11% 1,07534% 17% 25% 24% 9% CNEWS 28 June – 1 July 2023 1,816 29.3% 18.5%30.8% 21.4% 1.5% 28–29 June 2023 1,07033.3% 15.6% 20.9% 15.4% 14.8% 12.4% 1,07035.9% 17.1% 28.6% 18.4% 7.3% BCC-Gallup 16–20 June 2023 1,08331.89% 17.93% 24.62% 21.97% 7.28% TVBS 14–16 June 2023 1,080 30% 23%33% 14% 3% TPOF 12–13 June 2023 1,08036.5% 20.4% 29.1% 14.0% 7.4% CNEWS 31 May – 1 June 2023 1,07735.7% 25.9% 24.9% 13.5% 9.8% 29–30 May 2023 1,07235.4% 22.6% 25.5% 16.5% 9.9% 24–25 May 2023 1,07235.8% 18.3% 25.9% 20% 9.9% NCPF 22–24 May 2023 1,08234% 23% 23% 20% 11% Fount Media 22–23 May 2023 1,07426.6% 24.7% 21.1% 27.6% 1.9% SETN 17–18 May 2023 1,08029.8% 29.2% 20.8% 20.2% 0.6% TVBS 17–18 May 2023 1,444 27%30% 23% 20% 3%
Issue polling Pollster Fieldwork date Sample problem Sample size Lai Hou Ko Gou OthersUndecided Lead ETtoday 10–16 October 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,58234.7% 27.4% 25.5% 12.3% 7.3% RW News 10–14 October 2023 Online questionnaire backfill11,05542.62% 22.29% 24.93% 5.86% 4.30% 17.69%11,05542.85% 22.87% 26.09% 8.20% 16.76% udn 22–25 September 2023 No raw data 1,08230% 20% 21% 30% Tie ETtoday 23–24 September 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,36832.0% 24.5% 20.7% 13.2% 9.6% 7.4% RW News 12–16 September 2023 Online questionnaire backfill 10,84642.52% 22.25% 24.23% 6.58% 4.41% 18.29% KPoint Survey & Research 12–14 September 2023 No raw data 1,07329.4% 18.4% 16.7% 14.0% 21.5% 7.9% 1,07329.2% 21.5% 19.6% 29.7% 0.5% ETtoday 8–9 September 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,33735.1% 24.8% 20.0% 12.9% 7.2% 10.3% 1,33736.5% 29.5% 22.9% 11.0% 7% ETtoday 29–30 August 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,49535.3% 21.4% 17.6% 17.2% 8.4% 13.9% ETtoday 18–20 August 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,20735.4% 25.6% 24.2% 14.9% 9.8%RW News 15–19 August 2023 Online questionnaire backfill 11,32440.56% 22.16% 23.13% 8.96% 5.18% 17.43% RW News 11,32440.99% 22.79% 25.80% 10.12% 15.19% ETtoday 15–17 August 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,23531.7% 18.6% 17.5% 10.2% 22.0% 9.7% KPoint Survey & Research 31 July – 2 August 2023 No raw data 1,07530.3% 15.1% 18.2% 14.8% 21.6% 8.7% 1,07532.3% 15.8% 23.1% 28.8% 3.5% Newtalk 31 July – 1 August 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,40230.46% 16.92% 24.71% 17.34% 10.58% 5.75% 1,40229.46% 26.23% 26.31% 18.0% 3.15% Newtalk 1,40233.5% 21.4% 29.57% 15.53% 3.93% ETtoday 28–30 July 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,75333.4% 21.0% 21.6% 16.4% 7.7% 11.8% ETtoday 1,75335.6% 24.3% 28.8% 11.3% 6.8% TISR 19–20 July 2023 No raw data 1,06829.0% 13.2% 17.7% 10.7% 4.0% 11.3% 1,06833.8% 15.6% 24.9% 6.0% 8.9% RW News 12–16 July 2023 Online questionnaire backfill 12,46438.23% 20.39% 25.29% 9.22% 6.87% 12.94% RW News 12,46438.48% 21.29% 28.34% 11.89% 10.14% ACEL 10–12 July 2023 No raw data 1,00333.6% 14.8% 21.1% 12.5% 18.0% 15.6% 1,00332.4% 17.6% 25.9% 24.1% 6.5% ERA NEWS 3–6 July 2023 No raw data 1,07034.9% 14.5% 19.2% 14.6% 16.8% 15.7% 1,07035.5% 17.2% 24.2% 23.1% 11.3% Newtalk 30 June – 1 July 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 3,24528.26% 14.63% 21.94% 22.29% 12.89% 5.97% 3,245 28.49% 24.07%28.77% 18.67% 0.28% Newtalk 1,07032.77% 21.31% 30.74% 15.19% 2.03% RW News 6–10 June 2023 Online questionnaire backfill 12,03037.8% 21.9% 31.3% 9.1% 6.5% KPoint Survey & Research 6–9 June 2023 No raw data 1,07631.2% 17.9% 21.5% 29.4% 1.8% ETtoday 23–25 May 2023 Member mobile SMS backfill 1,22336.4% 27.7% 23.1% 12.8% 8.7% udn 18–21 May 2023 No raw data 1,09028% 24% 22% 27% 1%
Formosa daily poll Number Fieldwork date Sample size Lai-Hsiao Hou-Jaw Ko-Wu OthersUndecided Lead 27–29 December 2023 1,253 39.6% 28.5% 18.9% 13.0% 11.1% 26–28 December 2023 1,326 40.2% 28.7% 18.4% 12.8% 11.5% 25–27 December 2023 1,201 40.0% 28.9% 17.6% 13.5% 11.1% 22, 25–26 December 2023 1,201 38.7% 29.7% 16.6% 15.0% 9% 21–22, 25 December 2023 1,349 38.9% 29.4% 17.2% 14.4% 9.5% 20–22 December 2023 1,470 37.5% 32.6% 16.3% 13.6% 4.9% 19–21 December 2023 1,470 37.3% 33.4% 17.7% 11.6% 3.9% 18–20 December 2023 1,322 36.3% 32.8% 17.7% 13.6% 3.5% 15, 18–19 December 2023 1,201 35.2% 30.6% 19.6% 14.6% 4.6% 14–15, 18 December 2023 1,201 35.0% 31.7% 18.2% 15.1% 3.3% 13–15 December 2023 1,201 35.2% 32.1% 19.7% 13.0% 3.1% 12–14 December 2023 1,201 35.7% 31.7% 18.6% 14.0% 4% 11–13 December 2023 1,201 35.2% 29.5% 19.0% 16.3% 5.7% 8, 11–12 December 2023 1,201 34.7% 31.2% 16.8% 17.3% 3.5% 7–8, 11 December 2023 1,201 35.1% 32.5% 17.0% 15.4% 2.6% 6–8 December 2023 1,201 37.8% 32.6% 17.3% 12.3% 5.6% 5–7 December 2023 1,201 40.5% 30.8% 16.3% 12.5% 9.7% 4–6 December 2023 1,201 40.1% 31.6% 14.8% 15.5% 8.5% 1, 4–5 December 2023 1,201 38.3% 31.4% 14.8% 15.4% 6.9% 30 November–1, 4 December 2023 1,201 38.0% 31.7% 14.9% 15.4% 6.3% 29 November–1 December 2023 1,201 37.8% 29.5% 17.7% 15.0% 8.3% 28–30 November 2023 1,348 37.1% 30.5% 17.5% 14.9% 6.6% 24, 27–28 November 2023 1,476 36.3% 31.0% 18.0% 14.7% 5.3%
CNEWS weekly poll Sample Week Fieldwork date Sample method Sample size Lai Hou Ko Gou OthersUndecided Lead1st week of December 30 November – 1 December 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,00836.9% 28.0% 26.0% 9.1% 8.9% local phone 1,00037.1% 32.9% 17.4% 12.6% 4.2%4th week of November 24 – 25 November 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,01336.8% 26.6% 26.8% 9.8% 10% local phone 1,00039.9% 29.7% 18.9% 11.5% 10.2%24 November 2023Terry Gou withdraws his candidacy.2nd week of November 10 – 11 November 2023local phone + mobile phone 2,04630.8% 18.0% 26.0% 9.3% 15.9% 4.8%local phone 1,03333.9% 22.2% 22.4% 7.3% 14.2% 11.5%1st week of November 4 – 5 November 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,00032.7% 17.3% 25.8% 10.0% 14.2% 6.9% local phone 1,00034.7% 20.9% 19.7% 9.9% 14.8% 13.8%5th week of October 29 – 30 October 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,04925.6% 16.0% 25.4% 13.3% 19.7% 0.2% local phone 1,01229.1% 18.2% 20.4% 10.8% 21.5% 8.7%4th week of October 21 – 22 October 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,04824.0% 16.2%24.7% 15.8% 19.3% 0.7% local phone 1,03427.6% 19.1% 19.7% 14.1% 19.5% 7.9%3rd week of October 13 – 14 October 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,06229.7% 16.2% 27.7% 11.7% 14.7% 2% local phone 1,05134.8% 19.6% 20.4% 8.9% 16.3% 14.4%2nd week of October 7 – 8 October 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,04531.6% 17.0% 26.7% 11.2% 13.5% 4.9% local phone 1,03036.0% 17.8% 20.4% 9.1% 16.7% 15.6%1st week of October 29 – 30 September 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,03728.6% 16.9% 24.3% 12.3% 17.9% 4.3% local phone 1,03031.5% 17.8% 19.8% 10.2% 20.7% 10.8%4th week of September 23 – 24 September 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,01627.3% 14.2% 23.7% 14.2% 20.6% 3.6% local phone 1,01332.6% 14.8% 18.9% 12.3% 20.4% 12.2%3rd week of September 15 – 16 September 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,05228.0% 16.3% 22.6% 13.7% 19.4% 5.4% local phone 1,02529.7% 20.8% 16.7% 14.1% 18.7% 8.9% 2nd week of September 9 – 10 September 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,14528.4% 15.6% 23.4% 13.0% 19.6% 5% local phone 1,12731.5% 16.1% 18.9% 10.6% 22.9% 8.6% 1st week of September 1 – 2 September 2023 local phone + mobile phone 2,02429.7% 14.8% 23.4% 12.6% 19.5% 6.3% local phone 1,00835.4% 15.1% 16.7% 10.7% 22.1% 13.3%Note: Taiwan CNEWS believes that the different survey methods of each media have led to huge differences in results, and decided to continue to publish presidential election polls starting in September 2023.