Opinion polling for the 2025 Polish presidential election

During the months leading up to the 2025 Polish presidential election (whose first round occurred on 18 May, and whose second round will occur on 1 June), various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on , to the present day. The 2025 presidential election was held on , with the second round on .

Polling aggregations The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations.

First round Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Trzaskowski Nawrocki Mentzen Braun Hołownia Zandberg Biejat Stanowski Senyszyn JakubiakOthers / don't knowLead ewybory.eu 31.36 29.54 14.81 6.34 4.99 4.86 4.23 1.24 1.09 0.77 0.77 1.82 14–16 May 2025 31.6 26.0 12.3 4.3 6.5 5.1 5.4 1.8 1.4 1.5 4.1 5.6 10–13 May 2025 32.3 26.0 12.1 4.0 6.5 5.1 5.4 1.7 1.4 1.2 3.1 6.3 3–9 May 2025 32.0 23.6 13.6 4.3 7.3 5.4 5.9 1.4 1.0 1.2 4.3 8.4 26 Apr–2 May 2025 32.6 25.1 13.1 2.4 7.0 4.5 4.9 1.8 0.7 1.4 6.5 7.5 19–25 Apr 2025 32.0 26.5 13.4 2.1 5.8 4.0 4.9 1.6 1.2 1.2 7.3 5.510–16 Apr 2025 32.9 24.9 15.8 2.6 6.4 3.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 1.1 6.5 8.0 5–11 Apr 2025 35.2 24.2 17.9 3.1 5.1 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.6 7.1 11.0 29 Mar–4 Apr 2025 36.4 22.2 17.6 2.1 7.6 2.7 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 7.0 14.2 22–28 Mar 2025 34.4 23.7 17.5 1.1 5.4 1.9 3.6 0.0 0.0 1.4 11.0 10.7 15–21 Mar 2025 35.6 23.1 19.0 1.5 4.7 2.6 2.3 2.1 0.1 0.9 8.1 12.5 8–14 Mar 2025 35.4 23.0 19.2 1.9 5.7 2.3 2.3 1.5 0.0 0.7 8.0 12.4 1–7 Mar 2025 35.4 22.7 18.0 1.9 6.0 2.7 3.7 1.2 0.0 1.1 7.3 12.7 22–28 Feb 2025 33.8 22.7 17.2 1.0 7.4 1.6 3.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 10.1 11.1 15–21 Feb 2025 34.0 24.9 15.3 2.1 5.6 2.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 8.8 8.1 8–14 Feb 2025 34.2 24.0 14.2 1.5 6.5 1.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 9.6 10.2 1–7 Feb 2025 37.3 23.9 8.9 1.7 6.8 1.1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 14.1 13.4 25–31 Jan 2025 34.6 24.5 12.6 1.6 7.1 1.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.4 13.2 10.1 18–24 Jan 2025 35.5 25.2 13.2 2.7 7.5 1.5 3.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 9.6 10.3 11–17 Jan 2025 34.6 25.5 11.5 0.0 7.9 1.8 3.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 12.3 9.1 4–10 Jan 2025 32.4 26.8 12.6 0.0 6.6 1.2 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 15.2 5.6 21–27 Dec 2024 36.0 27.5 9.9 0.0 10.2 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 8.9 8.5 14–20 Dec 2024 36.6 24.7 11.6 0.0 8.5 0.0 3.6 0.0 0.0 1.9 13.1 11.9 7–13 Dec 2024 39.4 29.5 10.0 0.0 9.3 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 6.2 9.9 30 Nov–6 Dec 2024 36.9 30.3 7.3 0.0 7.9 0.0 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 12.3 6.6 23–29 Nov 2024 38.7 21.1 11.4 0.0 9.3 0.0 5.8 0.0 0.0 2.5 11.2 17.6

Second round – Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Nawrocki TrzaskowskiLead ewybory.eu 50.89 49.11 1.78 24–30 May 2025 49.7 50.3 0.6 18–23 May 2025 50.0 50.0 Tie 10–16 May 2025 46.1 53.9 7.8 3–9 May 2025 43.7 56.3 12.6 26 Apr–2 May 2025 44.4 55.6 11.2 19–25 Apr 2025 45.6 54.4 8.8 12–18 Apr 2025 45.9 54.1 8.2 5–11 Apr 2025 44.3 55.7 11.4 29 Mar–4 Apr 2025 40.8 59.2 18.4 22–28 Mar 2025 42.7 57.3 14.6 15–21 Mar 2025 42.3 57.7 15.4 8–14 Mar 2025 42.7 57.3 14.6 1–7 Mar 2025 44.1 55.9 11.8 22–28 Feb 2025 43.5 56.5 13 15–21 Feb 2025 44.1 55.9 11.8

Daily average Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Nawrocki TrzaskowskiLead ewybory.eu 50.89 49.11 1.78 30 May 50.1 49.90.2 29 May 49.8 50.2 0.4 28 May 49.7 50.3 0.6 27 May 49.9 50.1 0.2 26 May 49.4 50.6 1.2 25 May 49.3 50.7 1.4 24 May 49.7 50.3 0.6 23 May 49.7 50.3 0.6 22 May 50.6 49.4 1.2 21 May 50.5 49.5 1 20 May 50.5 49.5 1 19 May 51.1 48.9 2.2

First round

Polling firm/LinkFieldworkdateSamplesize Nawrocki Trzaskowski Hołownia Biejat Zandberg Mentzen Braun Jakubiak Stanowski Woch Senyszyn Maciak BartoszewiczOthersDon't knowLead 2025 presidential election 19,603,784 29.54 31.36 4.99 4.23 4.86 14.81 6.34 0.77 1.24 0.09 1.09 0.19 0.49 1.82 OGB (2nd late poll) / TV Republika 19 May 2025 – 28.46 31.35 5.04 4.48 5.10 15.15 6.65 0.70 1.10 0.09 1.21 0.19 0.48 2.89--> Ipsos (2nd late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News 19 May 2025 – 29.7 31.2 4.9 4.1 4.8 14.5 6.3 0.8 1.3 0.1 1.4 0.4 0.5 1.5 OGB (late poll) / TV Republika 19 May 2025 – 28.30 31.85 4.94 4.27 4.90 15.28 6.86 0.68 0.99 0.9 1.16 0.20 0.48 3.55--> Ipsos (late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News 19 May 2025 – 29.1 31.1 4.9 4.1 5.2 14.8 6.3 0.8 1.3 0.1 1.4 0.4 0.5 2.0 OGB (exit poll) / TV Republika 18 May 2025 92,108 29.8 31.6 4.7 4.4 6.0 14.0 5.4 0.7 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.5 1.8 Ipsos (exit poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News 18 May 2025 – 29.1 30.8 4.8 4.1 5.2 15.4 6.2 0.8 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 OGB 16 May 2025 1,000 28.68 32.89 4.72 4.30 4.45 14.21 5.87 1.73 1.38 0.05 1.04 0.26 0.42 1.00 4.21 Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 14–15 May 2025 1,002 25 29 7 6 7 12 4 2 2 0 2 0 1 3 4 IBRiS / Polsat News 13–15 May 2025 1,000 25.3 31.1 6.2 5.7 4.6 10.8 3.5 1.4 1.5 0.2 1.9 0.2 0.4 7.1 5.8 United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 May 2025 1,500 26.6 31.5 7.5 6.7 4.4 11.7 4.1 2.0 1.8 2.4 1.3 4.9 IPSOS / TVP Info 13–15 May 2025 1,000 24 28 6 5 6 13 5 2 2 0 1 1 1 6 4 Pollster / "SE.pl" 13–15 May 2025 1,697 26.9 34.2 6.4 4.9 5.4 13.1 4.3 0.9 1.7 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.6 7.3 Research Partner 13–14 May 2025 1,080 24.8 32.4 8.1 5.6 4.4 11.8 2.6 0.9 2.1 1.0 0.7 5.5 7.6 Opinia24 / RMF FM 12–14 May 2025 1,003 25.0 29.7 6.1 6.0 5.5 10.5 5.4 1.5 1.7 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.5 6.2 4.7 CBOS 5–14 May 2025 2,081 27.5 32.7 6.2 4.9 5.7 13.7 4.4 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.6 0.2 0.5 5.2 IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 2025 1,072 26.4 32.6 5.3 6.0 3.4 10.8 2.7 1.0 1.6 0.2 1.5 0.2 0.2 8.0 6.2 IBRiS / "RZ" 11–12 May 2025 1,073 25.2 32.3 7.9 5.5 4.1 11.2 2.5 0.9 2.4 0.1 1.0 0.0 0.5 6.4 7.1 IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 10–11 May 2025 1,067 23.6 31.5 8.6 6.3 5.4 12.6 2.6 1.1 1.6 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 5.1 7.9 ewybory.eu 22 Apr – 11 May 2025 14,815 30.16 33.24 5.99 3.60 4.54 13.36 3.97 1.09 2.08 0.13 1.51 0.08 0.24 3.08 OGB 7–10 May 2025 1,000 30.41 36.45 4.20 3.75 4.78 12.31 3.66 1.19 1.58 6.04 IBRiS / "Polityka" 7–10 May 2025 2,000 21.6 33.7 7.1 5.8 5.6 11.8 3.4 1.1 1.2 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.8 6.3 12.1 Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–8 May 2025 1,077 22.70 32.26 8.36 5.52 7.21 13.58 5.30 0.89 2.03 1.42 0.07 0.66 9.56 United Surveys / WP.pl 7 May 2025 1,000 23.2 33.2 7.5 6.1 3.7 13.6 3.5 1.2 1.6 1.2 5.2 10.0 Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 6–7 May 2025 1,012 25 31 5 6 5 14 4 3 1 0 2 0 1 2 6 Opinia24 / "Newsweek" 5–7 May 2025 1,001 25 30 7 6 5 13 4 1 5 5 United Surveys / WP.pl 28–29 Apr 2025 1,000 24.7 31.6 8.0 5.6 4.3 12.8 2.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 6.02 6.9 Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 2025 1,007 25 33 7 4 6 15 4 1 2 1 1 1 1 8 IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 25–26 Apr 2025 1,070 25.6 33.2 6.1 5.1 3.2 11.5 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.2 9.8 7.6 CBOS 22–24 Apr 2025 1,001 27 31 4 4 4 16 2 1 2 <0.5 1 0 1 7 4 Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 2025 – 26 32 6 4 5 15 4 1 2 1 1 6 United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 2025 1,000 27.6 31.7 7.1 6.4 4.4 11.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.0 1.4 0.2 0.3 5.9 4.1 Pollster / TV Republika 17–18 Apr 2025 1,007 25 33 8 3 5 15 5 1 3 2 8 IBRiS / "Polityka" 16–17 Apr 2025 1,067 24.9 30.4 7.3 4.3 3.3 12.9 1.3 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.4 11.2 5.5 IBRiS / Polsat News 16–17 Apr 2025 1,000 25.6 30.8 6.6 5.6 3.6 12.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.4 9.9 5.2 Pollster / "SE.pl" 15–16 Apr 2025 1,003 24 34 8 3 5 16 4 1 3 1 1 10 Opinia24 14–16 Apr 2025 1,002 21.6 34.1 6.1 3.2 4.3 12.9 3.0 1.6 2.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.3 9.3 12.5 IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Apr 2025 1,000 22 28 7 4 6 15 4 1 3 1 0 1 8 6 OGB 09–14 Apr 2025 1,001 29.56 35.53 3.44 1.87 1.77 20.43 4.67 1.19 5.97 Research Partner 11–13 Apr 2025 1,080 22.7 34.8 6.7 3.4 4.2 15.8 2.0 3.9 6.4 12.1 United Surveys / WP.pl 12 Apr 2025 1,000 25.5 33.5 9.1 6.3 1.3 13.4 1.6 1.1 0.4 7.8 8.0 Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 2025 – 22 33 5 2 5 15 4 2 1 0 1 10 11 CBOS 7–9 Apr 2025 1,000 25 33 4 2 5 17 3 1 1 0 <0.5 <0.5 1 7 8 Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Apr 2025 1,000 20.1 31.5 5.8 1.5 2.7 14.7 3.5 1.0 2.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.1 14.5 11.4 United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 2025 1,000 20.1 38.3 7.1 2.7 1.8 18.8 1.1 1.6 0.0 8.5 18.2 Opinia24 / ZET 2–6 Apr 2025 1,000 23 36 7 3 3 15 3 1 0 1 7 13 IBRiS / "Rz" 4–5 Apr 2025 1,068 22.6 36.2 8.3 2.6 2.1 17.4 2.1 0.8 0.6 7.2 13.6 Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Mar–1 Apr 2025 1,007 23 35 8 3 4 19 3 1 0.26 0.40 0.42 1.12 12 Research Partner / Business Insider 21–24 Mar 2025 – 22.2 35.5 5.7 2.9 2.2 17.0 2.2 3.5 8.8 13.3 United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 2025 1,000 25.3 33.2 5.0 4.4 1.5 18.0 2.3 0.6 0.9 8.8 7.9 Opinia24 17–21 Mar 2025 1,000 20.4 36.3 4.6 2.3 2.3 18.0 1.9 0.8 2.2 2.2 9.0 15.9 CBOS 17–20 Mar 2025 1,003 23 34 4 2 3 21 2 1 2 1 7 11 IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 13–16 Mar 2025 1,000 25.9 36.4 5.4 2.6 2.5 18.1 0.5 0.9 2.2 5.4 10.5 IPSOS / TVP Info 11–13 Mar 2025 1,000 21 36 6 2 3 17 2 1 2 0 9 15 Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Mar 2025 1,000 19.5 32.0 5.7 1.8 1.2 18.9 3.0 0.6 1.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 14.3 12.5 Social Changes / wPolsce24 8–10 Mar 2025 – 23 35 7 3 2 16 4 2 1 7 7 12 Opinia24 / More in Common 4–10 Mar 2025 1,148 23 38 7 3 1 18 3 1 1 5 15 United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Mar 2025 1,000 27.1 35.9 3.6 2.1 3.1 19.4 1.1 0.9 0.0 6.8 8.8 Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–9 Mar 2025 1,015 21 37 8 3 2 22 3 2 2 15 CBOS 3–6 Mar 2025 1,000 23 35 5 2 3 21 2 1 1 0 7 12 IBRiS / "Polityka" 4–5 Mar 2025 1,000 22.3 35.7 6.9 5.3 2.4 15.0 1.7 1.2 1.4 9.1 13.4 SW Research / Wprost 25–26 Feb 2025 809 16.5 33.6 7.9 1.8 2.6 18.9 2.9 2.2 2.8 1.0 9.9 14.7 Research Partner / Wprost 21–24 Feb 2025 1,050 24.7 33.7 7.2 3.0 1.4 16.8 1.8 8.2 9.0 United Surveys / WP.pl 21–24 Feb 2025 1,000 25.7 34.1 7.1 4.4 1.0 16.2 0.6 2.7 1.6 0.0 0.0 6.5 8.4 Ipsos / Liberté! 19–21 Feb 2025 1,000 25 32 6 2 3 15 2 1 3 1 8 7 IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19–21 Feb 2025 1,000 26.5 35.2 6.2 3.3 1.4 15.7 0.4 1.0 0.5 9.9 8.7 Opinia24 17–21 Feb 2025 1,001 24.1 34.9 4.2 2 2.7 13.6 2.1 1.7 1.3 2.7 10.8 10.8 CBOS 17–20 Feb 2025 1,002 25 34 5 2 2 17 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 7 9 IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Feb 2025 651 24 33 7 2 2 15 3 1 3 0 9 9 Social Changes / wPolsce24 Feb 2025 – 24 38 8 6 1 11 1 1 3 1 6 14 Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Feb 2025 1,000 21.7 30.9 4.7 2.1 2.0 16.8 2.8 1.6 0.0 0.5 3.0 14.0 9.2 Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–10 Feb 2025 1,077 25 35 8 2 2 16 3 2 5 2 10 United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Feb 2025 1,000 25.3 36.7 6.6 5.0 1.7 9.8 1.5 1.6 2.9 0.5 8.4 11.4 IBRiS / Onet 31 Jan–2 Feb 2025 1,068 23.9 37.3 6.8 5.0 1.1 8.9 1.7 1.2 3.0 11.0 13.4 Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 2025 1,000 24 32 7 3 2 15 3 1 4 0 0 1 7 8 Research Partner 24–27 Jan 2025 1,060 24.6 34.1 8.3 2.1 1.2 13.1 1.9 4.4 10.3 9.5 United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 25.0 37.8 6.0 5.6 1.2 9.7 2.0 1.4 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 8.1 12.8 Opinia24 20–24 Jan 2025 1,000 22.1 35.3 6.8 2.2 1.5 13.2 2.9 0.9 0.2 2.2 12.7 13.2 IBRiS / Polityka 17–24 Jan 2025 1,000 27.1 38.9 6.4 4.2 0.9 8.9 1.4 1.2 2.5 8.5 11.8 OGB 21–23 Jan 2025 1,000 31.73 35.51 5.35 3.14 0.52 15.68 3.37 2.13 2.57 3.78 SW Research / Wprost 20–21 Jan 2025 – 17.0 32.9 6.9 3.4 2.7 13.1 2.2 1.1 0.1 1.1 1.8 17.7 15.9 IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 16–19 Jan 2025 1,000 28.9 35.0 8.9 5.0 0.7 11.5 2.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 6.4 6.1 Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 2025 1,004 27 37 11 3 2 14 3 1 1 1 10 IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Jan 2025 1,000 22 32 9 2 2 10 2 0 3 15 10 United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 2025 1,000 29.0 34.2 6.7 4.6 1.5 13.0 1.2 0.0 0.2 9.6 5.2 Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 2025 1,000 22.6 29.8 7.2 3.9 0.4 13.2 1.4 0.5 5.6 15.6 7.2 CBOS 7–8 Jan 2025 1,000 31 35 6 3 2 12 2 0 1 7 4 United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 2024 1,000 28.8 36.2 10.2 5.8 10.1 1.3 7.6 7.4 IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19–21 Dec 2024 1,000 26.2 35.7 10.1 6.1 9.6 1.6 0.0 10.8 9.5 IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec 2024 – 22 35 8 5 14 3 0 1 12 13 Opinia24 / RMF FM Dec 2024 1,000 23.3 38.6 7.4 2.6 10.7 1.3 6.6 9.5 15.3 Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Dec 2024 1,005 28.70 41.96 10.67 3.26 12.68 2.73 13.26 United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 2024 1,000 30.3 36.9 7.9 4.8 7.3 0.5 12.3 6.6 SW Research / Wprost Nov 2024 – 13.1 38.6 8.5 11.8 3.7 24.2 25.5 Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 2024 – 26 41 9 12 8 4 15

Hypothetical polling